A TIERED system in the UK will have to be beefed up ready for the end of the national lockdown to avoid an explosion in covid infections, warn scientists.
Government scientists at SAGE say the current lockdown measures in place in England are likely to take the R number below one, but have concerns over the previous tiered system.
The so-called r-number has fallen to between 1 and 1.2 – the closest it has been to falling below the crucial 1 number since early September.
Experts warned the number still wasn’t low enough to either lift the second lockdown early, or even guarantee that it would be lifted at the four-week mark on December 2nd as the government had hoped.
In order to do that, SAGE said, the r-rate would need to be “well below 1 for an extended period of time” as “significant levels of healthcare demand and mortality will persist until R is reduced.”
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