Liberal Party: 157
Conservative Party: 121
New Democratic Party: 29
Bloc Québécois: 28
Green Party: 2
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has secured a third term with election victory – but his gamble to win an outright majority failed, taking hold of the exact same number of seats as he did two years ago.
The 49-year-old beamed on stage last night as he hugged his children Xavier and Ella-Grace and kissed his wife Sophie, 46, at the Liberal’s victory party in Montreal, Quebec.
In the latest results, Trudeau’s Liberals were leading or had won more seats than any other party with 157 – but this was the same figure they won with in 2019, and 13 short of the 170 required for a majority in the House of Commons.
Their nearest rival, the Conservatives, were predicted to claim 121 seats, also the same as in 2019. The left-wing New Democrats gained five seats to 29, the Quebec-based Bloc Québécois dropped three seats to 28, and the Greens stayed at two seats.
Trudeau last night hailed his victory as a judgment on his government’s performance during the pandemic and also highlighted his party’s work on climate, affordable homes and childcare.
‘You are sending us back to work with a clear mandate to get Canada through this pandemic and to the brighter days ahead,’ he said.
‘You have given this government and this parliament clear direction,’ he added.
However, Trudeau entered the election leading a stable minority that was not under threat of being toppled and many will argue that far from consolidating power, the minor election victory has only served to undermine his efforts.
‘Trudeau lost his gamble to get a majority so I would say this is a bittersweet victory for him,’ said Daniel Béland, a political science professor at McGill University in Montreal.
‘Basically we are back to square one, as the new minority parliament will look like the previous one.
‘Trudeau and the Liberals saved their skin and will stay in power, but many Canadians who didn’t want this late summer, pandemic election are probably not amused about the whole situation,’ he said.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau celebrates his election victory alongside wife Sophie, left, and their children Ella-Grace and Xavier in Montreal, Quebec
Trudeau kisses his wife Sophie at the Liberal election bash following his win
Trudeau with wife Sophie and kids Ella-Grace and Xavier
Liberal leader Justin Trudeau arrives to cast his ballot in the 44th general federal election – joined by wife Sophie Gregoire-Trudeau, and children, Xavier, Ella-Grace and Hadrien in Montreal on Monday
Trudeau votes with the help of his children, left to right, Hadrien, 7; Ella-Grace, 12; and Xavier, 13
Trudeau looks out from behind the voting booth on Monday in Montreal
Trudeau is seen casting his vote on Monday, assisted by Xavier, Ella-Grace and Hadrien
The Trudeaus are seen at home watching the election coverage in Montreal
The opposition was relentless in accusing Trudeau of calling an unnecessary early vote – two years before the deadline – for his own personal ambition.
Trudeau bet Canadians did not want a Conservative government during a pandemic.
Canada is now among the most fully vaccinated countries in the world and Trudeau’s government spent hundreds of billions of dollars to prop up the economy amid lockdowns.
Trudeau argued that the Conservatives’ approach, which has been skeptical of lockdowns and vaccine mandates, would be dangerous and says Canadians need a government that follows science.
Conservative leader Erin O’Toole did not require his party’s candidates to be vaccinated and would not say how many were unvaccinated.
O’Toole described vaccination as a personal health decision, but a growing number of vaccinated Canadians are increasingly upset with those who refuse to get vaccinated.
Trudeau supports making vaccines mandatory for Canadians to travel by air or rail, something the Conservatives oppose.
And Trudeau has pointed out that Alberta, run by a Conservative provincial government, is in crisis.
Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, an ally of O’Toole, said the province might run out of beds and staff for intensive care units within days.
Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole and his wife Rebecca O’Toole cast their ballots for the Canadian general federal election in Bowmanville, Ontario on Monday
O’Toole hoped to win support from Canadians fed up at pandemic restrictions, but failed
O’Toole, with his wife Rebecca and children Jack and Mollie, conceded in the early hours of Tuesday
A voter provides COVID-19 contact-tracking information at the Halifax Convention Centre as they prepare to vote in the federal election
Kenney apologized for the dire situation and is now reluctantly introducing a vaccine passport and imposing a mandatory work-from-home order two months after lifting nearly all restrictions.
‘Hubris led Trudeau to call the election. He and the Liberals won the election but lost the prize they were seeking,’ said Nelson Wiseman, a political science professor at the University of Toronto.
‘This is only a great night for the Liberals because two weeks ago it appeared they would lose government outright – something they could not fathom before they gambled on an election.’
Wiseman said the Conservatives were hurt by the situation in Alberta.
‘The explosion of the pandemic in Alberta in the past 10 days undermined O’Toole’s compliments of the Alberta Conservatives on how they had handled the pandemic and reinforced Trudeau’s argument for mandatory vaccinations,’ he said.
Elections Canada workers place signage at the Halifax Convention Centre as they prepare for the polls to open in the federal election
People start to line up early for the Canadian general election before polls open in west-end Toronto
A Conservative win would have represented a rebuke of Trudeau against a politician with a fraction of his name recognition.
O’Toole, 47, is a military veteran, former lawyer and a member of Parliament for nine years.
‘Canadians did not give Mr Trudeau the majority mandate he wanted,’ O’Toole said.
O’Toole said he was more determined than ever to continue but his party might dump him after it dumped the previous leader who failed to beat Trudeau in 2019.
O’Toole advertised himself a year ago as a ‘true-blue Conservative.’
He became Conservative Party leader with a pledge to ‘take back Canada,’ but immediately started working to push the party toward the political center.
O’Toole’s strategy, which included disavowing positions held dear by his party’s base on issues such as climate change, guns and balanced budgets, was designed to appeal to a broader cross section of voters in a country that tends to be far more liberal than its southern neighbor.
Voters follow social distancing measures as they line up at the Halifax Convention Centre as they prepare to vote in the federal election in Halifax
The son of a long-time politician has faced criticism he will say and do anything to get elected.
Whether moderate Canadians believed O’Toole is the progressive conservative he claims to be and whether he alienated traditional Conservatives became central questions of the campaign.
Adrian Archambault, a 53-year-old Vancouver resident, voted Liberal and said he didn’t mind the election was held during a pandemic.
He noted provincial elections have also happened during the pandemic.
‘Everybody has been so preoccupied with COVID the last few years it wasn’t maybe a bad thing to sort of do a re-check,’ he said.
An Elections Canada worker, right, holds a voter’s coffee as they record COVID-19 contact-tracking information at the Halifax Convention Centre
Trudeau’s legacy includes embracing immigration at a time when the U.S. and other countries closed their doors.
He also legalized cannabis nationwide and brought in a carbon tax to fight climate change.
And he preserved free trade deal with the U.S. and Mexico amid threats by former U.S. President Donald Trump to scrap the agreement.
Barack Obama and ex-Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton tweeted support for Trudeau.
There wasn’t a Trump endorsement of O’Toole.
Conservative campaign co-chair Walied Soliman said there is no alignment whatsoever between O’Toole and Trumpism.
Soliman said earlier in the day holding Trudeau to a minority government would be a win for O’Toole.