London mayoral election polls and odds: Who will win in 2021?

IN LESS than 48 hours Londoners will be expected to decide who will become the capital’s next mayor.

London’s mayoral elections will take place on May 6, 2021.

🔵 Read our Elections 2021 live blog for the very latest updates

Britain goes to the polls on Thursday for a set of elections - and they will be told to take their own pens
Mayoral elections will be held on May 6

Who will win the London mayoral election 2021?

A record-breaking 20 candidates are in the running this year.

So far Labour candidate Khan has been leading the polls followed by his closest rival Bailey.

A recent poll by ComRes for ITV London, suggests Sadiq Khan leads on his Conservative Shaun Bailey, by 41% to 28% on first preference votes.

Next is Lib Dems candidate Luisa Porritt with 8 per cent, and Sian Berry of the Green Party with 6 per cent.

The online survey was answered by more than 1,000 adult Londoners and it was carried out between April 13 and 19.

Labour – Sadiq Khan

Khan is seeking a second term as Mayor after he was first elected in 2016 with 44.2 per cent of the vote.

But even as a favourite fighting for re-election in Labour dominated London, Khan has a fight on his hands.

The son of a bus driver made history when he was elected London’s first Muslim mayor.

Before entering the House of Commons the 50-year-old practised as a lawyer specialising in human rights.

As mayor he introduced the hopper fare for unlimited bus and tram journeys for an hour.

He also increased the area and cost of the congestion zone.

Khan also brought in new charges (the ULEZ and the T-Charge) for older and more polluting vehicles driving in the city.

London Mayor Sadiq Khan has pledged to bring the Olympics back to the city for the fourth time if he is re-elected
Sadiq Khan remains a strong favourite

He has also been a strong supporter of remaining in the European Union.

While his environmental policies have gained praise he has been attacked for what is critics see as his inability to tackle the capital’s rise in crime and in particular knife crime.

A YouGov poll found only 30 per cent of Londoners were satisfied with his leadership, and 33 per cent dissatisfied.

 However he remains a strong favourite among the bookies as he is long odds-on at 1-50 with bookmaker Coral.

Conservatives – Shaun Bailey

Tory candidate Shaun Bailey, 48, is the son of a lorry driver, whose grandfather came to Britain from Jamaica as part of the Windrush generation.

He was raised in the West London area alongside his younger brother by his mum.

Bailey joined the Army cadets while still a teenager and remained with them for another 10 years.

In 2006, he co-founded MyGeneration, a charity for young people, which closed in 2012 due to financial problems.

Shaun Bailey will be the Tory candidate for Mayor of London
Shaun Bailey says stop and search “saves lives.”

He lost at the 2010 General Election standing in Hammersmith, and he failed to gain nomination for different constituencies at 2015 elections.

During his 2020/2021 mayoral campaign, Bailey has argued that increasing stop and search “saves lives.”

In an interview with TalkRadio in February 2020, he said he would “back the police to do the job” by giving them stop and search powers as well as the technology for scan and search.

Lib Dem- Luisa Porritt

Ms Porritt, 33, is the leader of the Camden Lib Dems and the youngest of all of the candidates.

She has three main aims for Londoners: “jobs, homes and clean air.”

She is the Leader of the Liberal Democrat Group on Camden Council and was previously Deputy Leader of the party’s MEPs.

Porritt says in her manifesto: “Londoners are uncertain about the future.

“They are worried about their jobs, how unaffordable it is to live here, and the city’s impact on the environment.

Luisa Porritt, who was born and raised in London, is Leader of the Liberal Democrat Group on Camden Council
Luisa Porritt has three main aims for Londoners: “jobs, homes and clean air.”

“Let’s make every neighbourhood in our city a safe and thriving place to live and work.”

Green Party- Sian Berry

Sian Berry is the co-leader of the Green Party and has been in the position since September 2018.

Berry was elected a Green London Assembly member in 2016 and also came third in the London mayoral race.

She has been a Camden councillor since 2014.

She said the Greens were the “only party Londoners can trust to deliver on their promises” with regard to housing.

Sian Berry is the co-leader of the Green Party and has been in the position since September 2018
Sian Barry has been a Camden councillor since 2014

Ms Berry would set up a “creative autonomy allowance”, giving 1,000 young people £10,000 for three years to pursue creative careers

She would set the London Living Wage at £14 an hour from 2022.

She would also publish a new waste reduction strategy to encourage the “reduction, reuse and repair” of products.

What happened in 2016?

The  last London mayoral election was held on 5 May 2016 with Sadiq Khan, winning a majority over Zac Goldsmith.

Labour- 44.2 per cent

Conservative- 35 per cent

Green- 5.8 per cent

Liberal Democrats- 4.6 per cent

UKIP- 3.6 per cent

Women’s Equality- 2.0 per cent

Respect- 1.4

Britain First- 1.2 per cent

CISTA- 0.8 per cent

BNP- 0.5 per cent

Prince Zylinski- 0.5 per cent

One Love- 0.2 per cent


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